5. Market Follower Strategy. It is only after reviewing the competitive landscape
and the competitive strategies of those who are in fact the market leaders (Open AI,
xAi, Google as showcased above) that one can begin to tackle one's own strategic
review as a market follower. As shown below, the firm has to find the right product/ market/channel fit. Using such tools as the 4 Ps and the 5-Forces, it must develop
not one but 3 strategies, its business, competitive, and marketing strategies, by iteration.
DeepSeek could be one such follower, using the same data freely available on the Internet
but serving a much bigger domestic market, the Chinese market, and competing against
its own domestic peers (Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent). See point 8 below profiling DeepSeek.
1 The Strategic Review applied to the AI market
We conduct 3 reviews: a strategic review as shown on this page, and a business and an
operational review as shown on the following page.
Depending on whether the firm is a market disruptor, market challenger, market
incumbent or market follower, the strategic review is conducted as follows:
1. Industry Analysis. The strategic review always begins with an industry analysis. In the
IT industry, almost like clockwork, a new market disruptor emerges every ten years.
Today, that disruptor is of course OpenAI.
2. Market Disruptor Strategy. Here too, the strategic review does not begin with your
firm's business strategy but with that of the market disruptor, namely OpenAI. It
consists of the following phases:
. Product. 10 years on after its founding in 2015, OpenAI has successfully come up
with a marketable product, comprised of a program (the large-language model or LLM),
a database covering everything publishable online (GPT), and a chatbot (ChatGPT).
This first phase can be called the core product development or just product phase
. Go-To-Market Financing. It successfully clinched already in 2019 $1B from Microsoft
to finance its product development. Killing two birds with one stone, by 2023 it received
another $12B from them to finance its commercial development. The tie-up allows it
at the same time to tap into Microsoft's customer base of 1.6B users and 2M businesses.
This second phase can be called the go-to-market product financing or money phase
. Standards. As in any industry, the 3 to 5 major players (OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta,
Google, DeepSeek) must agree on an industry-wide standard, which is the only way
for individual firms to benefit from economies of scale and bring down costs. This is
why OpenAI and Anthropic are pushing to have their LLM models, respectively
o3 and MCP, adopted as the standard for AI, just as Linux became the standard
for operating systems, to be distributed for free to lure the greatest number of users
This third phase can be called the scaled product development or industry phase
. Partnerships. OpenAI has recently acquired for $6.7B Jony Ive's design firm iO, in
order to fill a missing gap in hardware, to lure this time the greatest number of buyers
This fourth phase can be called the differentiated product development or market phase
3. Market Challenger Strategy. A challenger to watch closely is Elon Musk's xAI. Just
as Apple was also a challenger until it bypassed in a few short years Blackberry, Elon has
very quickly narrowed OpenAI's lead by releasing his own AI engine in Grok, his own
AI chip to equip his Dojo supercomputer, and a critical mass of 1.6B users he can tap
into at X and now at Telegram, both to exclusively use Grok. Like OpenAI, he has
delivered to his investors, who put in $6B, on the product, the market, and the channel.

INTERNET NETWORK
LANGUAGES
CLOUD OF THINGS
DATA
OPERATING
SYSTEMS








CLOUD SOFTWARE


SECURITY SOFTWARE


NETWORK SOFTWARE


APPLICATION SOFTWARE


HARDWARE
& RELATED
SOFTWARE


DATA ANALYST

APPLICATION DEVELOPER


ANALYTICS & BI

EXPERIENCE
DESIGNER


SHARED WORKSPACE

WORKFLOW

ERP

DIGITAL CURRENCIES

MARTECH


Competitive Strategies
OPEN SOURCE FRAMEWORK

EXPERIENCE DESIGN

STANDARDS
HARDWARE & SOFTWARE
DEVELOPER TOOLS
DIGITAL EDUCATION

Social Media & eCommerce
TELCOS (MSOs)
DATA CENTER OPERATORS



WEB PLATFORMS

Market Disruptor

How We Do It
Strategy
4. Market Incumbent Strategy. OpenAI backed by Microsoft, Anthropic backed by
Amazon, and xAI backed by Elon must face off the most formidable incumbent that
is Google. As shown on the 2-hour-long video of its 2025 Keynote below, the search
giant has made great strides, having nearly finished making end-user tools which the 3
upstarts do not yet have. To go against OpenAI's AI engine ChatGPT, Anthropic's Claude,
and xAI's Grok, Google must have easily matched the 3 upstarts' $10B to $15B of capital commitments, in order to develop and roll out its own AI engine, Google Gemini.
To understand the extent of Google's formidable reach, let us not forget that the founders
of OpenAI, Anthropic and now Safe Superintelligence, Inc (SSI) cut their teeth in their
twenties as crack developers at Google's in-house AI incubator, Google Brain (notably Ilya
Sutskever, later chief scientist at OpenAI and after a falling out with Sam Altman now at
his own firm, Safe Superintelligence, and the Amodei siblings at Anthropic).
However one wants to cut it, the Internet business we've now rebranded as AI is still
Google's "sort and search" business extended now as a "sort, search, and solve" business
(Google also holds an equity stake, albeit a small one, in Anthropic, having pledged to commit a total
of $2B to Amazon's $8B as of end 2024)
AI Disruptor
AI Disruptor
Competitive Advantage
The Strategies
Product, Market, Channel
see NFTs Case Study
Market
(Marketing Strategy
4 Ps)
THE FIT
Product/
Market/
Channel
THE STRATEGY
Differentiation (Scope)
THE POSITIONING
Higher, Mid or Lower-end Market Positioning
MARKET FORCES
Product Life Cycle
DIFFERENTIATED
PRODUCT
OpenAI ChatGPT chatbot
PEOPLE
Customer Satisfaction
Industry
(Competitive Strategy
5-Forces)
THE FIT
Service Model/
Deployment Model/
Revenue Model
THE STRATEGY
Standardization (Scale)
THE POSITIONING
Quality, Cost or Niche
Industry Positioning
MARKET FORCES
Industry Structure,
Capital Markets
SCALED
PRODUCT
AI LLM Standard
PEOPLE
Job Description
Firm
(Business Strategy)
THE FIT
Customers/
Value Chain Partners/
Employees
THE STRATEGY
Innovation (Strengths)
THE POSITIONING
Technology Leader or Follower
Firm Positioning
MARKET FORCES
Business Cycle
CORE
PRODUCT
OpenAI ChatGPT 4.5
PEOPLE
Functional Description

Market Challenger

Market Incumbent

Market Follower

Industry Analysis

See also The Internet page
7. China. Finally there is the biggest threat of all, China. As we saw above with the
top US market leaders, the 4 critical success factors are in the product's software
(AI engine), and hardware (AI chip), the market's billion+ users, and the financial
backing. China has all four. On the software side, the top Chinese Internet companies,
such as Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu, and an OpenAI clone, DeepSeek, are already at
the 3rd version of their AI engines, respectively Qwen 3, HPI, Ernie 4.5 and
DeepSeek. On the hardware side, Huawei and Xiaomi, to name just two we know
about, have already launched their AI chips, respectively the 910C GPU and the
XRing01. In terms of market size, Tencent's Wechat alone has a base of 1.3B users.
The Money. Then there is the invisible hand of the Chinese government. As it has
done with EVs, it has already shelled out this year alone some $60B of subsidies to
the Chinese IT industry (our governments have also subsidized as much but without
any strings attached, throwing good money after bad).
The Brainpower. That the Trump Administration has pushed forward its $500B
Stargate project with Oracle, OpenAI and Softbank and forced Apple to manufacture
at home is a good sign. The question now is how the US will train 400 000 new
engineers a year to catch up to the 600 000 the Chinese churn out of their now
world-class engineering schools.
8. DeepSeek. Below is a profile of DeepSeek's founder, Liang Wenfeng, a multi-
talented entrepreneur who, after completing his master's in computer science in 2010,
developed already back then an AI stock-trading program to take advantage of the
capital markets' instability and volatility after the 2008 GFC. Capitalizing on its
success, he created his own hedge fund, raising up to 19B yuan. In a sense, Liang
was already stress testing what was to become DeepSeek. He applied it to the most
difficult usecase there was, using the same type of AI algorithmic trading we had
at home, to invest in the Chinese stock market for his clients.
It therefore came as no surprise that Liang took a step further in 2019 by founding
High Flyer AI to develop what was to become DeepSeek. When the first R1 version
of DeepSeek was rolled out in January 2025, upon learning that its development
had cost a mere $6M compared to the tens of billions of dollars raised by OpenAI,
US tech stocks tumbled, losing $1T in market value.
Moreover, as the graph above "The Rise and Rise of AI" shows, the Chinese IT
industry didn't wait for DeepSeek's or OpenAI's roll-outs in 2024 and 2025 to begin
investing heavily to realign itself to AI. As shown on the graph, its first GPT database,
Wu-Dao 2.0, was released in 2021, preceding Google's own GLaM and OpenAI's GPT 4.
See the Wikipedia article on Wu-Dao 2.0, an entirely state-sponsored project.
6. Business Models. Then only, after reviewing their respective competitive strategies,
do they develop their business models. The map below, shows who the biggest players
are, as reflected by the size of the circles (Open AI in purple, Google in yellow and
the Chinese in orange), operating their AI data centers powered by their AI chips and
AI databases and running their AI engines. So far, as their own chips are still under
development, only Nvidia GPU chips are used.
Perhaps more importantly, the map also tells us what their distinct business models
would be. To begin with, using the 4 Ps, in terms of the Product, they are tailoring
and pricing their software, the AI engines, to meet the needs of their target markets.
For example, Google has on the one hand their top line Vertex AI LLM, priced higher
to process resource-intensive apps for those of their Fortune 500 customers needing
not just text but images and videos and on the other hand, their Coden, Imagen, and
Chirp LLMs, which are customized into more narrowly defined apps and priced lower.
In terms of the remaining 3 Ps, Price, Place and Promotion, nothing has changed.
They will continue to use dual pricing, billing a fixed subscription fee and a variable
usage fee, based on the number and complexity of the queries known as tokens. As
for the marketing channel downstream, because they target the entire total addressable
market or TAM, they will partner with the usual intermediaries, the wholesalers and
the retailers. We will therefore continue to have a Kyndril, an IBM spinoff, to operate
the data centers and IBM itself to provide the higher margin installation services.
Finally, regarding their promotional strategy, new AI Martech tools have yet to be
developed with regard to online ad auctions, PR events, Github-like developer websites,
AI app stores, and the like.
To contact us
Or Man Partners
Table of Contents
The Strategy Process
applied to the AI market
The Product:
1. Industry Analysis
The Product/Market/Channel Fit:
2. Market Disruptor Strategy
3. Market Challenger Strategy
4. Market Incumbent Strategy
5. Market Follower Strategy
6. Business Models
7. China
8. DeepSeek